Scientific studies on vaping: evidence, harm reduction and comparison with tobacco
Expanded compendium of the main studies, systematic reviews and public body positions on electronic cigarettes, smoking cessation, biomarkers, dual use and relative risk compared with combustible tobacco.
0. Key notices before discussing “studies”
It is not correct to present vaping as “safe” in absolute terms. The WHO insists that it is not risk-free and that the safest option is to use neither tobacco nor vaping. [12]–[13]
- If you do not smoke, do not start vaping. The harm reduction approach is intended for adult smokers. [12]–[13]
- Harm reduction depends on use. The greatest benefit is observed with complete switching (total replacement of combustible tobacco). [1], [5]–[7]
- Dual use (smoking and vaping at the same time) usually offers a smaller benefit, because exposure to combustion still remains. [9], [11], [14]
This page is designed so you can read the evidence critically: what type of study it is, what exactly it measures and what conclusions can (and cannot) be drawn.
1. Quick evidence map (what we know best today)
In science, not all studies carry the same weight. This map prioritises systematic reviews, clinical trials and public body reports.
| Area | Type of evidence | Useful conclusion (summary) | References |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quitting smoking | Cochrane review (living) + trials | Nicotine e-cigs may increase the probability of quitting compared with nicotine replacement therapies in some contexts. | [6]–[8] |
| Exposure to toxicants | Chemical measurements + biomarkers | In general, vaping aerosol contains far fewer toxicants than tobacco smoke; the details depend on the device, use and liquid. | [1], [5], [10] |
| “95% less harmful” | Communicative estimate (UK) | It is not a fixed mathematical figure: it is a way of communicating much lower relative risk compared with tobacco. | [2]–[4] |
| Dual use | Observational + reviews | The benefit is usually smaller than with complete switching; residual risk depends on how much smoking continues. | [9], [11], [14] |
| Long-term risk | Evolving evidence | The time horizon is still limited for some chronic diseases; this is why use in non-smokers and young people should be avoided. | [12]–[13], [15] |
Toxicity scale: direct comparison
A study published in the Journal of Hazardous Materials by the Pasteur Institute of Lille analysed levels of carbonyls and hydrocarbons (PAHs):
Combustible tobacco
Heated tobacco (IQOS)
Vaping (e-cigs)
The study concludes that electronic cigarettes reduce the toxicant dose per µg of nicotine delivered (see cited article). [10]
2. What public bodies say (and why it matters)
2.1 United Kingdom: harm reduction approach (evidence reports)
The United Kingdom is one of the countries with the strongest production of public-health applied evidence on vaping as a tool for adult smokers. Two key pieces:
- OHID (UK Government) – “Vaping in England: evidence update” (2022): synthesis of studies on prevalence, cessation, toxicant exposure and relative risks. [1]
- Royal College of Physicians – “E-cigarettes and harm reduction” (2024 update): evidence review and clinical/policy recommendations. [5]
2.2 Public Health England and the “95%” communication
The phrase “around 95% less harmful” comes from reviews by Public Health England as a way to communicate much lower relative risk compared with combustible tobacco. It is important to understand it as a guiding estimate, not as an exact and immutable figure. [2]–[4]
2.3 WHO: “not harmless” and priority on youth prevention
The World Health Organization maintains a precautionary position: it recognises that the products are not risk-free, emphasises the protection of minors/non-smokers and reinforces that the safest option is not to use either (neither tobacco nor vaping). [12]–[13]
3. Studies on quitting smoking: systematic reviews and clinical trials
3.1 Cochrane review (living review): the “gold standard” in evidence synthesis
The Cochrane “living” systematic review is updated with new trials. In practical terms, it is one of the most useful sources for answering the question: do nicotine e-cigs help people quit smoking? [6]
How to read Cochrane without noise:
- Look for the level of certainty (low / moderate / high).
- Check whether the comparison is against NRT (patches/gum) and whether behavioural support is involved.
- Review whether the outcome is “sustained abstinence” (the most relevant) or only reduction.
3.2 Highlighted clinical trial (NEJM): e-cig vs nicotine replacement therapy
The trial published in The New England Journal of Medicine compared nicotine e-cigarettes with NRT in a cessation service setting, providing a widely cited piece for the public debate. [8]
3.3 Practical conclusion (for adult smokers)
The useful evidence for the reader is this: if the goal is to quit tobacco, results tend to be better when there is complete switching, a realistic nicotine strategy and (minimal) habit/environment support. [1], [5]–[8]
4. Comparative toxicology: what “hard” studies measure (smoke vs aerosol)
4.1 Why smoking is so harmful (combustion changes the game)
Scientific comparison usually starts with the mechanism: combustible tobacco produces smoke through combustion (high temperatures and complex reactions), while vaping produces an aerosol by heating an e-liquid (without combustion). That does not mean “harmless”, but it does drastically change the emissions and exposure profile. [1], [5], [10]
4.2 Biomarkers: when science looks at the body (not just vapour)
In addition to measuring aerosol, many reviews prioritise studies that measure biomarkers of exposure to observe whether switching from smoking to vaping reduces exposure to compounds typical of tobacco. [1], [5], [15]
4.3 What a toxicity study “does not” prove
5. Dual use (smoking + vaping): why it is the big nuance
From a harm reduction perspective, the health goal is to reduce exposure to combustion. With dual use, exposure to smoke still exists, so the expected benefit tends to be smaller than with complete replacement. [1], [5]
5.1 Recent studies analysing “dual vs exclusive”
There are observational works comparing health profiles between exclusive use, dual use and non-use, and discussing residual risk. One example cited in the debate is the analysis published in NEJM Evidence. [9]
Another recent work in Nicotine & Tobacco Research (2025) focuses on associations in exclusive and dual users. [14]
5.2 Practical conclusion
6. Respiratory and cardiovascular health: what is known, what is debated and what is missing
6.1 The real problem: “biological harm” vs “long-term clinical harm”
Many studies show reduced exposure to toxicants compared with smoke (toxicology/biomarkers). The more difficult question is whether that reduction translates into less disease in the long term across large populations. [5], [15]
6.2 Umbrella reviews and broad reviews (overview)
Umbrella reviews help map the full field. One example (ScienceDirect, 2024) reviews evidence on e-cig use, dual use and other patterns. [11]
6.3 Responsible reading for the user
- If a study compares vapers with non-smokers, it is normal to find higher risks (the ideal reference point is “zero exposure”). [12]–[13]
- If it compares complete switching vs continued smoking, the key question is whether it reduces exposure to combustion and improves cessation capacity. [1], [5]–[8]
- In observational studies, smoking history can distort results; this is why reviews insist on separating “ex-smoker who vapes” from “dual smoker”, etc. [5], [9], [14]
7. Scientific FAQ (fast, clear and supported)
7.1 Is it correct to say that “vaping is safe”?
No. The correct approach is to speak about relative risk: for adult smokers, switching completely from tobacco to vaping can reduce exposure to the most harmful components of smoke, but vaping is not risk-free and the safest option is to use neither. [12]–[13], [1], [5]
7.2 Where does the “95% less harmful” figure come from?
It is a communicative estimate from British reviews (Public Health England) to convey that vaping is much less harmful than smoking. It is not a universal exact calculation; it depends on use and the evidence continues to be updated. [2]–[4]
7.3 What does the evidence say about quitting smoking?
Systematic reviews (Cochrane) and relevant clinical trials support that nicotine e-cigs may help people quit smoking in certain contexts, especially with support. [6]–[8]
7.4 Does dual use equal the same harm reduction?
It is usually not equivalent. Combustible tobacco continues to contribute much of the risk; the benefit is usually greater with complete replacement. [1], [5], [9], [14]
7.5 Which studies are “the most reliable” to start with?
For a non-technical reader: public body reports (OHID/RCP) + Cochrane review + clinical trials (NEJM) + well-designed emissions/biomarker studies. [1], [5]–[8], [10]
Bibliographic references
- Office for Health Improvement and Disparities (OHID). (2022). Vaping in England: evidence update (August 2022). GOV.UK. Official link.
- Public Health England (PHE). (2015). E-cigarettes around 95% less harmful than tobacco estimates: landmark review. GOV.UK (press release). Official link.
- McNeill, A., Brose, L. S., Calder, R., Hitchman, S. C., & Hajek, P. (2015). E-cigarettes: an evidence update (Report commissioned by Public Health England). London: PHE. PDF.
- McNeill, A., Hajek, P., et al. (2015). Underpinning evidence for the estimate that e-cigarette use is around 95% safer than smoking. PDF.
- Royal College of Physicians. (2024). E-cigarettes and harm reduction: An evidence review (updated full report). London: RCP. PDF.
- Lindson, N., Butler, A. R., McRobbie, H., et al. (Living systematic review; latest update available in Cochrane Library). Electronic cigarettes for smoking cessation (Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews; CD010216). Cochrane Library.
- Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine (CEBM), University of Oxford. (n.d.). Living Evidence: Electronic cigarettes for smoking cessation (briefings & updates). Updates page.
- Hajek, P., Phillips-Waller, A., Przulj, D., et al. (2019). A randomized trial of e-cigarettes versus nicotine-replacement therapy. The New England Journal of Medicine, 380, 629–637. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1808779. Text.
- NEJM Evidence. (2024). Population-based disease odds / dual use and e-cigarette use. Article.
- Dusautoir, R., Zarcone, G., Verriele, M., et al. (2020). Comparison of tobacco cigarette, heated tobacco product (IQOS), and e-cigarette aerosol emissions. Journal of Hazardous Materials. (ScienceDirect: S0304389420314060). Article.
- ScienceDirect. (2024). E-cigarette use, dual use, and other tobacco use: Umbrella review. Article.
- World Health Organization (WHO). (n.d.). Tobacco: E-cigarettes (Q&A). WHO page.
- World Health Organization (WHO). (2024). Regulation of e-cigarettes (document repository). PDF.
- Nicotine & Tobacco Research. (2025). Association of exclusive and dual use of e-cigarettes with disease outcomes (observational analysis). (Access via PubMed/Journal). PubMed.
- National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. (2018). Public health consequences of e-cigarettes. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. Report.
Want to know everything about vape liquids?
Chapter 3: What is an e-liquid and what does vape liquid contain?